Where the real Dota happens.This is a space where I put my predictions on upcoming matches. I predict based on my experience and the performance of Pro Teams — and I comment on every single one, with an aftermath added after each match.
~70%
prediction accuracy
600+
picks tracked
Pro
matches only
Always free
No paywalls, no accounts, nothing to unlock. Just open the site and read.
Before the draft
I commit before the heroes are even picked. No backdating, no excuses.
Tracked publicly
Every correct and every wrong call is on display. I have nowhere to hide.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
2 series · newest left
Xtreme Gaming
My take
The fact that GL beat 1Win is already a big achievement. But Xtreme (Ame and the boys) is not 1Win. Xtreme should control the map and close it 2-0 or 2-1. Don’t overthink the LGD loss—the bounce-back game is incoming.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
2 series · newest left
Natus Vincere
My take
AVI looked fearless in skirmishes the whole tournament (clean early-to-mid against almost everyone except Yandex and LGD). Niku + offlane pressure is real, and they just showed they can grind out a series against a fighting Nemesis. They already beat Aurora 2-0 once at this event. If Aurora gets a massive early lead, they can steal a map, but I trust NAVI’s tempo and decision-making more in a BO3. Going with NAVI. Not to mention that they already beat Aurora in the group stage.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
5 series · newest left
Team Yandex
My take
Yandex is still the big bad bully of this tournament. ATF+ watson Farming + almost zero mistakes in the early-mid is a different level. They looked like the best team for most of the groups and just put Aurora in the lower bracket. Chira_Junior is proving the haters wrong every series. LGD’s only real winning condition is perfect teamfight execution once the game stabilizes. Yandex doesn’t give you those free resources and plays way more disciplined. I still trust Yandex’s consistency more in a BO3. Expect Yandex 2-1 (could even be a stomp if they draft properly).
