Where the real Dota happens.This is a space where I put my predictions on upcoming matches. I predict based on my experience and the performance of Pro Teams — and I comment on every single one, with an aftermath added after each match.
~70%
prediction accuracy
600+
picks tracked
Pro
matches only
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Before the draft
I commit before the heroes are even picked. No backdating, no excuses.
Tracked publicly
Every correct and every wrong call is on display. I have nowhere to hide.
PlayTime
My take
Both teams are 0-1, and both looked lost yesterday. PlayTime threw a mega-creeps game, and Cobra got run over by GamerLegion. Still, PlayTime has slightly better individual pieces and at least some experience at this level. Cobra’s early game is still too soft. Going with PlayTime, but this could easily be a bloodbath either way.
Xtreme Gaming
Head to Head
1 series · newest left
LGD Gaming
My take
GL looked clean against Cobra, but we already know their classic problem—they choke leads and can’t push high ground properly. LGD with Suma1L mid is a completely different animal than the TI version of Nigma. I trust LGD’s mid + Wits more than GL’s late-game hopes. Going with LGD.
Yakult Brothers
My take
Should be a YOLO match by both teams. But Yakult at least took a map off LGD, and Pips got outfarmed by Aurora. Still, I don’t trust either of them fully. I’ll go with Yakult just because they showed a bit more fight, but this is a pure coinflip match in my eyes.
Head to Head
1 series · newest left
Natus Vincere
My take
This is the real match of the day. Aurora barely beat Pips+4 with ws carrying everything and Skiter looking meh. The problem with Aurora right now is that without Mikoto they lose a lot of early pressure and another greedy core in the late game. NAVI should take the lead in net worth and not let Aurora play the slow farm game they want. Going with NAVI.
Team Yandex
My take
Yandex is the big bad bully of this tournament, and ATF already makes them even more dangerous. Nemesis just pulled off the upset against 1win with two stand-ins, and SabeRLight was a monster, but this is a completely different level. Watson farming + early aggression from Yandex should just be too much. I’m going with Yandex, and I don’t think it will be close.
MOUZ
My take
MOUZ lost to Yandex, but they played extremely well. Pibbles got completely stomped by Xtreme, and SA Dota has been looking weak so far this tournament. Even with stand-ins everywhere, MOUZ should have enough individual quality to take this clean. Going with MOUZ to win this quickly.
