Where the real Dota happens.This is a space where I put my predictions on upcoming matches. I predict based on my experience and the performance of Pro Teams — and I comment on every single one, with an aftermath added after each match.
~70%
prediction accuracy
600+
picks tracked
Pro
matches only
Always free
No paywalls, no accounts, nothing to unlock. Just open the site and read.
Before the draft
I commit before the heroes are even picked. No backdating, no excuses.
Tracked publicly
Every correct and every wrong call is on display. I have nowhere to hide.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
3 series · newest left
Team Yandex
My take
We saw this match in Wallachia. Actually, MOUZ and NAVI were the only ones who took a map from Yandex; in the rest, they were ruthless. I will say it again, Yandex is probably the strongest team of the season. I'm going with Yandex to win.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
4 series · newest left
OG
My take
El fiasco: xD We have Save- vs. Topson on mid. I don't know; I kind of lean towards OG (even though you all hate this new squad). I think that Topson can make a lot of space for Natsumi to farm and turn the games around. Yes, sure, BB is also really strong (even without Gpk), but I will risk it here and go with OG.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
1 series · newest left
PARIVISION
My take
I will go with PARI on this one, but I really want to see if LGD is capable of turning this BO3 into a dogfight. More importantly, I want to see if PV has that dawg in them and can match this late-game pace. But the early to mid-game should be PV all the way.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
1 series · newest left
Team Spirit
My take
I liked the way Team Spirit played (even though they lost a map to Nemesis). I don't trust the 1Win team to handle this Spirit 5-man execution, because, simply put, → Spirit NEVER tilts.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Xtreme Gaming
My take
In any case, I would go with Xtreme, but in this scenario, this is a 100% win for Ame and the boys. Something happened with LevelUp, because I noticed how they started to lose the matches even in tier 2 tournaments, left and right.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
1 series · newest left
Team Nemesis
My take
I am pretty sure that NAVI is tilted after that loss to 1Win. Because this match is a clear coin toss, and Nemesis can win this BO3. I will go with them, upset NAVI, and win the match. I believe that JackKy is really good, and they can handle this NAVI pressure.
Model fair odds — 1 ÷ our win probability
Head to Head
4 series · newest left
Team Liquid
My take
Battle of the offlaners. Now we will know for sure who is carrying their team more, Wisper or ws? Somehow, I believe that Liquid is kind of countering Aurora's playstyle, because they play a lot of Yolo Dota and will gank skiter at least 10 times in the first 15 minutes. I will go with Liquid on this one.
