Where the real Dota happens.This is a space where I put my predictions on upcoming matches. I predict based on my experience and the performance of Pro Teams — and I comment on every single one, with an aftermath added after each match.
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Before the draft
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The only reason why REKONIX got the second slot in the group stage is because Nigma destroyed the L1GA team in the last match. But I wouldn't say that they got lucky here, because they need to fight against Yellow Submarine, who is at the top of the group stage and looks really strong.
YeSWe already saw this match in the DreamLeague Div last change qualifiers, and SAR destroyed Nigma in the finals (3-0). It's like déjà vu; Nigma is again undefeated in the group stage (they didn't lose a single map). But, somehow, the patch favors them more, so this time I'm going with Nigma to win against South America Rejects.
NGXVery unlucky for 1Win here. The reason why they need to fight Tundra in the Upper Bracket is because yesterday, they played for the last slot. As for the game itself, we don't know how good Tundra is in this patch, but there is a reason why they are top 1 worldwide. I'm going with Tundra to win.
TundraWhat you get here
One pick per match. My honest read, written before the draft. No fluff, no hedging.
Yellow Submarine
My take
The only reason why REKONIX got the second slot in the group stage is because Nigma destroyed the L1GA team in the last match. But I wouldn't say that they got lucky here, because they need to fight against Yellow Submarine, who is at the top of the group stage and looks really strong.
Nigma Galaxy
My take
We already saw this match in the DreamLeague Div last change qualifiers, and SAR destroyed Nigma in the finals (3-0). It's like déjà vu; Nigma is again undefeated in the group stage (they didn't lose a single map). But, somehow, the patch favors them more, so this time I'm going with Nigma to win against South America Rejects.
Tundra Esports
My take
Very unlucky for 1Win here. The reason why they need to fight Tundra in the Upper Bracket is because yesterday, they played for the last slot. As for the game itself, we don't know how good Tundra is in this patch, but there is a reason why they are top 1 worldwide. I'm going with Tundra to win.
PARIVISION
My take
I can't wait to see this match. First of all, I want to see how Noticed is fitting the team (since we know that there are rumors that he will join PARIVISION). More than that, I want to see if this greedy core trio is working. I'm going with PV to win.
L1GA TEAM
My take
L1GA seems way more stable than MOUZ. It sounds insane, since MOUZ fought against the best in the tier 1 tournaments, but now they look kind of lost. Here and right now, L1GA is stronger than MOUZ.
✓ Aftermath
Ok, let's wish MOUZ a quick recovery and hope that they can bounce back from this and take it as a lesson. Maybe I was too harsh on them. But I need to throw the last jab at them. Why the hell did they pick 2 TIMES Shadow Fiend for Crystallis? Is he a flashy carry, and I don't know? Pick him,Dragon Knight, and let him do his thing.
1w Team
My take
1Win is clearly a better team here. I don't think Nemesis can take even a map from them, based on what we saw in this tournament.
Zero Tenacity
My take
This match is a fight for life and death; whoever loses this match is going home. But, at least Z10 showed us something against REKONIX, and Nemesis lost to it. We can't believe in Nemesis at all, going with Z10 to win.
✗ Aftermath
Pfff, Nemesis somehow was able to take the win here. 4nalog doesn’t want to go home yet. Also, it lols like this new carry from Nemesis is a strong Tiny player. Zero Tenacity is out of the tournament.
Nigma Galaxy
My take
The last match for Nigma looks interesting. L1GA is no joke, but I don't think they can compete against NIGMA in this tournament. I believe that they just play too fast for the tier 2 teams; that's why nobody can beat them.
✓ Aftermath
When it comes to fast dota, I believe Nigma is right behind Team Liquid in this niche. It's hard to play against them for a tier 2 team.
Yellow Submarine
My take
Now, that's interesting. So, Yellow Submarine is at the top of the group stage, but 1Win also looks sharp (did you see the match vs MOUZ?). I will still give the edge to Yellow Submarine, but it's a 50/50 for me.
✓ Aftermath
What a game! This has got to be the best game in the 1Win series tournament, by far. Both maps, comeback after comeback, buybacks, Divine Rapier, etc. And you know what is funny? Yellow Submarine again picked this Tinker for Rain, and oh boy, did he deliver. Yellow Submarine looks really strong.
South America Rejects
My take
Naaah, I love SumaiL with all my heart, but after what we saw yesterday, it's safe to say that South America Rejects will dismantle MOUZ.
✓ Aftermath
It's embarrassing for MOUZ. But do you know WHY they won map 1? Because that was probably the best draft in the whole tournament, putting Huskar as a carry instead of mid. And you don't kill that Huskar with the Heart of Tarrasque at minute 25.
REKONIX
My take
I don't trust either of them. But REKONIX at least shows some heart; Nemesis is absolutely bullied by everyone in the tournament.
✓ Aftermath
The reason why REKONIX lost map 1 was that Tiny bought the Revenant's Brooch. I think a Daedalus would've done way more on Tiny than the brooch. Now, regarding Team Nemesis: I don't know, this stack doesn't look competitive at all; maybe they need some time to adjust, but right now they are really in a tough spot.
L1GA TEAM
My take
Again, we can't go with Nemesis against anyone. L1GA is just better overall; they can play mid-game, they can farm, and they don't feed.
✓ Aftermath
Now, that’s what I call an Alchemist carry. Not that fuggazzi with Aghanim's Scepter for cores. More than that, what a comeback from L1GA!
MOUZ
My take
I will go with MOUZ here, but remember guys, yesterday they won against a tier 2 CIS mix. I would still argue that MOUZ should win without issues, but we've seen in the first day how they managed to lose against Yellow Submarine.
✗ Aftermath
Oh my God, you've got to be kidding me. This is the worst performance from MOUZ that I've seen in a while. I don't understand what the problem is, but if they keep playing like this, I believe that they will disband soon.
Yellow Submarine
My take
Yellow Submarine, no questions asked. This young Team Spirit academy looks really strong and promising. Man, they won against MOUZ and SAR!!
REKONIX
My take
OK, REKONIX surprised us yesterday, and we kind of understand why they are here. I believe that they have potential, but they just need more experience against tier 1 teams.
Nigma Galaxy
My take
I was hyped for Nemesis since they have a new stack, and then they just lost to a tier 2 mix from CIS in the EPL. I am not convinced that they can show something here, especially against Nigma.
✓ Aftermath
Looks like Team Nemesis forgot that Noob is a Lycan player and they lost in 20 minutes. Absolute domination from Nigma Galaxy.
MOUZ
My take
Of course I have to go with MOUZ here, because Nemiga doesn't offer any competition here. BUT, I am soooo upset at them from yesterday; you have no idea.
✓ Aftermath
Now, they look like the world beaters against a CIS stack that didn't win a single game in the tournament. At least we saw some flashy plays from SumaiL on his Beastmaster.
South America Rejects
My take
I'm going with my boys here, no questions asked. They are sharp, they are ready, and they will destroy 1Win the same way they destroyed them in the DreamLeague last chance qualifiers.
✓ Aftermath
Well, well, well, what do we have here? A throw from South America Rejects? Do you realize that they lost the first map with a MASSIVE advantage, right? But, in the other 2, they just dismantled 1win without any issues.
L1GA TEAM
My take
Weird match, I don't really trust REKONIX yet. They need to show me some good strats, some good 5v5, until that, I believe L1GA is better than them.
✗ Aftermath
I guess I was too confident and believed in L1GA since they showed more heart in the PREMIER SERIES and even in the qualifier. But I was wrong; REKONIX rag dolled them in both maps. And again, why don't people ban this Lone Druid? It is OP!
Nigma Galaxy
My take
We have to go with Nigma here. They always stomp any tier 2 team. More than that, Z10 tends to go only to late game, which Nigma punishes A LOT.
✓ Aftermath
Is it only me, or does Windranger look again really strong in this patch? Imagine that Morphling with Monkey King Bar couldn't do a thing to WR. You know why? Because it's hard to catch her off guard. Anyway, congrats Nigma.
South America Rejects
My take
We already saw this encounter in the last chance qualifiers for the DreamLeague Season 29. South America Rejects won 2:0. I doubt that Nemiga can do something to win against this mid-game aggression. Going with SAR (PlayTime) to win.
✓ Aftermath
Man, again DarkMago on Queen of Pain is punishing the other team. He did the same thing in Wallachia. If you don't ban that QOP, you'll get punished.
MOUZ
My take
Say what you want; I can't go against the king. SumaiL is on midlane; MOUZ is a tier 1 team. Even though Yellow Submarine won against PlayTime, aka South America Rejects, I will go with MOUZ to stomp them.
✗ Aftermath
I don't know what to say. I mean, what can the king even do? Carry Crystallis in all 3 maps? You can hate me all you want; I will die on this hill and say that they need a carry that doesn't feed left and right.
L1GA TEAM
My take
I will go with L1GA here; based on the latest results, L1GA seems like it has improved a lot. Z10 is really dependent on how Dream will play on Carry. So, I will just be safe here and go with L1GA.
✓ Aftermath
I told you that L1GA is no joke. The thing is, they did the same thing in PREMIER SERIES; they are beating almost any Div 2 team, and then they are losing in a hard match against the tier 1 teams. They are almost there to fight the big dogs. I think they have a lot of potential to even break into the tier one scene.
Nigma Galaxy
My take
That's a good match to watch. REKONIX is also no fuss here, but man, they are playing against NIGMA (that just qualified for the DreamLeague Season 29). They didn't lose a single map, and it's hard to go against them.
South America Rejects
My take
Well, Yellow Submarine doesn't have ATF on the offlane like they did in the PREMIER SERIES. SAR, on the other hand, is just on another level right now. It's a no-brainer going with South America Rejects to win.
✗ Aftermath
Holy moly, SAR just lost to Yellow Submarine. But, in my defense, I will say that they were counter-picked with the Huskar in map 3 and also with the Windranger in map 2. I would also argue that SAR is really fatigued with this much Dota; they played 23 matches before this.
1w Team
My take
The whole match is really under Squad1X's performance. It really depends on how they will draft, but in the end, 1Win is just better on paper than Nemiga Gaming here.
